I don't usually do this, but let me throw out a random political prediction about something I've seen a lot of people talking about today: I think John Edwards will endorse Barack Obama for president this week, probably on Friday.
Rationale: There's no other reason for Edwards to randomly drop out out of nowhere unless he's decided that his presence in the race hands the election to Clinton. Pulling out today of all days seems calculated to rob Clinton of any mojo she might have received from the Florida non-victory; I've also read that he notified Obama yesterday and Clinton only this morning.
Given all this, why not endorse? As noted in the earlier post, Obama seems happy about something. Two days of speculation prime the pump, and then Edwards pulls the trigger on Friday after the debate, guaranteeing Obama positive press all weekend and on the Sunday news shows.
(His non-presence at the debate, and the delayed endorsement, are also both good news for Obama, as together they take the "They're ganging up on me!" sympathy card off the table.)
As I saw noted on another thread, somewhere or another on the internets, the Obama homepage doesn't list any scheduled events between now and February 2. Thursday's the debate; what's he doing Friday?
Contra Shankar, I also don't think the Richardson endorsement is all that unlikely—though I wouldn't bet on it.
The last person standing is Al Gore, who I still think endorses Obama by Super Tuesday—if I'm right, it'll be leaked Sunday and made official Monday.
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
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