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Friday, February 29, 2008

Marc Ambinder takes a stab at predicting Obama's VP, but misses the smart bet completely: Gen. Wesley Clark. Clark might well have been Clinton's VP and was, I think, the most likely choice for Obama VP even before the race took the shape it has. But Clark's vocal support for Clinton just makes the likelihood of his being picked as Obama's VP all the more likely—picking Clark now becomes a unity move that brings the party back together.

Biden has an outside chance, and Bill Richardson probably has a slightly better chance than Biden—but I still think it'll be Clark.

If it isn't Clark, I think that will be because Obama has decided either that he needs to double down on "change" and pick someone else who represents the future, or else decides the better unity move is to select a woman, or both. In this case look at Obama endorsers like Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius, Arizona Governor Janet Napolitano, or Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill.

But Obama should keep in mind, if this is indeed his thinking, that there's only one way to lock up now and forever the Jaimee Hills/Larry David demographic, and that's to pick California Senator and Curb Your Enthusiasm star Barbara Boxer.

UPDATE: Right, Republicans. Can Huckabee get enough support to edge out Romney? Condoleezza Rice has already said she won't do it, and it would have been hard to imagine the Republicans really picking her despite the obvious demographic advantages she brings to the table.

Is there anyone else who is even on the radar screen over there?