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Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Election night! The polls have been all over the map in Indiana, so it's hard to say how things will line up. The trends over the last few days has been a tightening race, so I think it will be close—Clinton by five points or less. (As usual, if Obama had a few more days he might have been able to win it outright, but as it stands I just don't think the lines are going to cross in time.)

As for North Carolina, I have little doubt Obama will have a significant win here, more than five certainly, probably a little more in the range of eight to twelve. (Don't let me down, North Carolina. Don't let me down.)

Both sides declare victory, nothing changes except there's even fewer delegates left for Clinton to close the gap...