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Monday, November 10, 2008

Nate Silver looks at the Franken/Coleman recount and concludes "Franken is anywhere from the prohibitive underdog in the recount to the prohibitive favorite," depending on what sorts of assumptions you start with. (His calculations put the odds of a Franken victory at around 44%.)

The margin in the race is currently 206, down from 700+ when Coleman declared victory last Wednesday—and it remains the sincere hope of all decent people that Franken crosses into positive territory before the recount officially begins, as we know that Norm Coleman, man of honor, will surely keep his word and forgo the recount for the good of Minnesota.