The Electoral College map is starting to look a lot like my obscene fantasy blowout, with OpenLeft's most recent presidential forecast looking exactly like it. Obama—perhaps capitalizing on my hoped-for Ron Paul effect—has now taken a four-point lead in Montana, and CNN/Time polls from other swing states continue to look bad from Johnny Mc.
As reported and then strenuously denied earlier in the week, he's now shifting advertising to Bush states, signaling he's trying to play defense and possibly just avoid a blowout. Colorado in particular seems to have been abandoned. Pennsylvania remains McCain's Last Stand, and I remain unconvinced he really has any sort of shot there.
More importantly the circular firing squad in the GOP has begun in earnest, most notably symbolized an NRSC Liddy Dole ad put out today that takes as its premise a McCain loss. Republicans are scrambling to be heirs to the throne: witness JoinRudy2012 and Marc Ambinder's argument that Sarah Palin is positioning herself to be next in line in 2012.
All I can say to that is "Yes, please."
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Posted by Gerry Canavan at 4:30 PM
Labels: circular firing squads, don't believe the polls, Electoral College, general election 2008, John McCain, Liddy Dole, Pennsylvania, politics, polls, Sarah Palin, swing states
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